Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Asti		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.15	2.02
	3.15	3.2	2.04
	3.33	3.41	2	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.31	3.52	2.07
	2.85	3.2	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.6)	3.28 ↓ (3.32)	2.07 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Asti
28.5%

Draw
27.6%

Sestri Levante
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

26.2%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Asti's form might have worsened.

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestri Levante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Asti - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

Asti is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sestri Levante is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sestri Levante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Sestri Levante will win today's game, with odds of 2.32.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Asti won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Asti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Sestri Levante - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Asti
Italian Serie D - Group A
30.11.25	Saluzzo - Asti	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Celle Varazze - Asti	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Asti - Imperia	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Asti - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
09.11.25	Asti - Derthona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
30.11.25	Sestri Levante - Biellese	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	NovaRomentin - Sestri Levante	0:5 ✺
18.11.25	Sestri Levante - Chisola	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Cairese - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Sestri Levante - Valenzana Mado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
05.02.23	Sestri Levante - Asti	2:0
02.10.22	Asti - Sestri Levante	1:2
13.03.22	Sestri Levante - Asti	1:1
31.10.21	Asti - Sestri Levante	0:1

Asti - Sestri Levante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide