The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sestri Levante 57.6%
Draw 24%
Celle Varazze 18.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.9%
26.2%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
24.9%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Celle Varazze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celle Varazze than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Sestri Levante - Celle Varazze Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th in the Serie D - Group A (Play Out: ) and 18th in the Relegation).
Sestri Levante has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Celle Varazze has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sestri Levante may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Sestri Levante is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sestri Levante has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sestri Levante against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.