Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 254


	Sestri Levante		SPAL

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	3.75	3.2	2
	3.66	3.19	2.02
	3.77	3.26	2.03	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.95
	3.61	3.14	2	Watch
	3.75	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.27)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	1.99 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
25%

Draw
28.9%

SPAL
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestri Levante's form might have worsened.

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestri Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Sestri Levante - SPAL Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anacoura J. (G) 27. Podda L. 23. Nenci O. 4. Pane M. 3. Furno C. 25. Nunziatini F. 8. Conti F. 14. Oneto E. 10. Clemenza L. 9. Parravicini N. 37. Brugognone G.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 28. Calapai L. 23. Arena M. 16. Sottini E. 19. Mignanelli D. 20. Zammarini R. 10. Radrezza I. 8. El Kaddouri O. 33. D'Orazio L. 7. Antenucci M. (C) 11. Rao E.
Substitutes
6. Brunet J. 33. Calloni R. 11. De Felice F. 7. Durmush M. 22. Fusco E. (G) 43. Montebugnoli M. 19. Pavanello A. 95. Primasso A. 86. Raggio G. S. 77. Raineri T. 18. Rosetti M. 13. Santovito R. 30. Sgambelluri D. 12. Sias F. (G)	21. Bachini M. 26. Bassoli A. 77. Bidaoui S. 3. Bruscagin M. 80. Buchel M. 30. Camelio U. 12. Galeotti C. (G) 90. Kane L. 9. Karlsson O. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 29. Nador S. 18. Ntenda J. 13. Polito V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Antenucci M. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Pane M. ⚽,
38', D'Orazio L. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Radrezza I. ⚽,
45+1', Oneto E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Calapai L. ↓, Bruscagin M. ↑,
50', El Kaddouri O. 🟨,
56', 1 - 3, Rao E. ⚽,
63', Brugognone G. ↓, De Felice F. ↑,
65', El Kaddouri O. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
70', Oneto E. ↓, Raggio G. S. ↑,
74', Rao E. ↓, Iglio G. ↑,
80', Buchel M. 🟨,
83', Arena M. 🟨,
83', D'Orazio L. ↓, Ntenda J. ↑,
84', Conti F. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,

Preview

Sestri Levante is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

SPAL has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sestri Levante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sestri Levante have a series of guest games.

SPAL will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
08.09.24	Pontedera - Sestri Levante	4:1 ✺
31.08.24	Sestri Levante - Pineto	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Gubbio - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	AlbinoLeffe - Sestri Levante	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Trento - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLT
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
08.09.24	SPAL - Lucchese	2:3 ✺
30.08.24	Perugia - SPAL	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	SPAL - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Atalanta U23 - SPAL	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Sassuolo - SPAL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
03.03.24	Sestri Levante - SPAL	2:3
26.10.23	SPAL - Sestri Levante	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	SPAL - Sestri Levante	2:0

Sestri Levante - SPAL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide