The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perugia 44.5%
Draw 29.4%
SPAL 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
29.1%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.
Perugia - SPAL Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 17. Cisco A. 13. Amoran P. 5. Angella G. 7. Bacchin L. 6. Giunti G. 16. Bartolomei P. 24. Torrasi E. 20. Ricci F. 9. Montevago D. 45. Sylla Y.
1. Melgrati R. (G) 3. Bruscagin M. 23. Arena M. 21. Bachini M. 26. Bassoli A. 20. Zammarini R. 10. Radrezza I. 5. Awua T. 33. D'Orazio L. 7. Antenucci M. 11. Rao E.
Substitutes
33. Agosti L. 22. Albertoni M. (G) 18. Di Maggio L. 98. Giraudo F. 84. Lickunas A. 30. Marconi G. 10. Matos 19. Palsson A. 67. Plaia M. 73. Polizzi M. 77. Sadetinov D. 2. Viti M. 12. Yimga D. R.
34. Breit P. 12. Galeotti C. (G) 90. Kane L. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 29. Nador S. 18. Ntenda J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Torrasi E. ⚽,
43', Torrasi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Bassoli A. ↓, Ntenda J. ↑,
58', Radrezza I. ↓, Nador S. ↑,
63', Sylla Y. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
64', Cisco A. ↓, Giraudo F. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Montevago D. ⚽,
80', Awua T. ↓, Kane L. ↑,
82', Torrasi E. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
82', Bacchin L. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
83', Ricci F. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Montevago D. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 2.
SPAL could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Perugia will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Perugia won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.