Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 11

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Setúbal		Oriental

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.5	8.25
	1.3	4.75	8.5
	1.32	4.74	9.49
	1.33	4.74	9.49
	1.29	4.7	8.8
	1.31	4.6	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)	4.67 ↑ (4.3)	8.82 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
70%

Draw
19.6%

Oriental
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21.3%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

20.4%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 5).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Setúbal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Setúbal is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Penafiel - Setúbal	3:2 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.11.23	Juventude de Évora - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Setúbal - Barreirense	4:0 ✺
01.11.23	Sintrense - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Setúbal - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWTW
- Clube Oriental Lisboa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
19.11.23	Juventude de Évora - Oriental	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Oriental - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Elvas - Oriental	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Oriental - Barreirense	0:4 ✺
08.10.23	Sintrense - Oriental	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
23.11.14	Oriental - Setúbal	1:0

Setúbal - Oriental: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide