Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Sevilla B		Racing Cartagena MM

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.5
				Watch
	1.68	3.3	5.55
	1.68	3.3	5.55
	1.62	3.38	5.35
	1.72	3.25	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.34)	3.29 ↓ (4.33)	5.13 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla B
54.4%

Draw
27.8%

Racing Cartagena MM
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

20.9%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

20.2%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla B's form might have worsened.

Racing Cartagena MM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Cartagena MM's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Cartagena MM than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Cartagena MM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sevilla B - Racing Cartagena MM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Racing Cartagena MM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sevilla B is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sevilla B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.11.23	Linense - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Sevilla B - Cadiz CF B	5:0 ✺
29.10.23	Estepona - Sevilla B	0:4 ✺
22.10.23	Sevilla B - Manchego	3:0 ✺
15.10.23	Águilas - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL
- Racing Cartagena MM
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Marbella	0:3 ✺
29.10.23	Linense - Racing Cartagena MM	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Cadiz CF B	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Estepona - Racing Cartagena MM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.04.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Sevilla B	1:0
20.11.22	Sevilla B - Racing Cartagena MM	2:2

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