Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 11

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Racing Cartagena MM		San Roque de Lepe

	1	X	2
	1.66	3	5.25
	1.65	3.2	6.38
	1.66	3.17	6.38
	1.56	3.36	6.15
	1.97	2.95	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.16)	3.14 ↑ (2.81)	5.62 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Cartagena MM
54.2%

Draw
29.4%

San Roque de Lepe
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

32.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Cartagena MM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Cartagena MM's performance.

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Roque de Lepe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Cartagena MM than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Cartagena MM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Roque de Lepe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Racing Cartagena MM is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Roque de Lepe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing Cartagena MM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently San Roque de Lepe have a series of home games.

In this match Racing Cartagena MM is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Racing Cartagena MM won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing Cartagena MM won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Cartagena MM
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Marbella	0:3 ✺
29.10.23	Linense - Racing Cartagena MM	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Cadiz CF B	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Estepona - Racing Cartagena MM	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Manchego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLW
- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Linense	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Girona	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Cadiz CF B - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	San Roque de Lepe - Estepona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.01.23	San Roque de Lepe - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0
04.09.22	Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe	2:1

Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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