Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 23

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Sevilla C		Cabecense

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.55	5.58
	1.5	3.72	6.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)	3.64 ↑ (3.38)	5.9 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla C
59.6%

Draw
25%

Cabecense
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

21.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla C's performance.

Cabecense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla C that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabecense than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cabecense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla C won 2.

Recent matches Sevilla C is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cabecense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sevilla C could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sevilla C is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sevilla C won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla C won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
18.02.24	La Palma - Sevilla C	1:4 ✺
10.02.24	Sevilla C - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Xerez Deportivo - Sevilla C	2:1 ✺
26.01.24	Sevilla C - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Bollullos - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLLL
- CD Cabecense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.02.24	Cabecense - Ceuta B	1:3 ✺
11.02.24	Xerez CD - Cabecense	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Cabecense - Córdoba B	1:3 ✺
28.01.24	Espeleño - Cabecense	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Cabecense - Gerena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.10.23	Cabecense - Sevilla C	0:1
09.01.22	Cabecense - Sevilla C	3:0
18.09.21	Sevilla C - Cabecense	2:1
30.05.21	Cabecense - Sevilla C	2:0
12.05.21	Sevilla C - Cabecense	1:1
15.12.18	Cabecense - Sevilla C	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
22.10.17	Sevilla C - Cabecense	2:0

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