Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 21

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Sevilla FC TV


	Sevilla C		Ceuta B

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.98	2.72
	2.38	3	2.91
	1.83	3.78	3.70	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.4	2.93	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.94)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	3 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla C
39.7%

Draw
29.7%

Ceuta B
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla C's form might have worsened.

Ceuta B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sevilla C - Ceuta B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Sevilla C (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla C (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla C won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sevilla C may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sevilla C could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sevilla C won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla C won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sevilla FC C	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
16	Ceuta B	5	1	1	3	3:10	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.03.26	Sevilla C - Pozoblanco	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla C	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sevilla C - Castilleja	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Coria CF - Sevilla C	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Córdoba B - Sevilla C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWTT
- Ceuta B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.03.26	Dos Hermanas - Ceuta B	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ceuta B - Cadiz CF B	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ceuta B - Bollullos	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Ceuta B - Linense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.09.25	Ceuta B - Sevilla C	0:0
26.04.25	Ceuta B - Sevilla C	0:1
06.12.24	Sevilla C - Ceuta B	2:0
10.02.24	Sevilla C - Ceuta B	2:0
30.09.23	Ceuta B - Sevilla C	1:0
01.04.23	Sevilla C - Ceuta B	0:1
07.12.22	Ceuta B - Sevilla C	0:1

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