Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Sevilla C		Utrera

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.25	2.92	3.05
	2.2	3.12	3.19	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.46	3.08	2.95
	2.36	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.04)	2.99 ↓ (3.15)	3.12 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla C
40.3%

Draw
30.5%

Utrera
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.9%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-3%)

Sevilla C - Utrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla C won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sevilla C may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sevilla C will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sevilla C won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla C won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	CD Utrera	5	4	0	1	7:5	2	12
14	Sevilla FC C	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.12.25	Dos Hermanas - Sevilla C	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sevilla C - Cadiz CF B	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sevilla C - Bollullos	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Tomares - Sevilla C	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWLWW
- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
21.12.25	Utrera - Linense	3:3 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Onubense - Utrera	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Utrera - Pozoblanco	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	San Roque de Lepe - Utrera	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Utrera - Castilleja	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.04.25	Utrera - Sevilla C	2:1
24.11.24	Sevilla C - Utrera	2:1
14.04.24	Sevilla C - Utrera	1:2
26.11.23	Utrera - Sevilla C	2:0
13.03.22	Utrera - Sevilla C	4:0
14.11.21	Sevilla C - Utrera	1:3
14.03.21	Sevilla C - Utrera	0:3

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