Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	San Roque de Lepe		Utrera

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.1	3.7
	1.21	5.67	13.19	Watch
	1.94	3.1	3.8
	2.04	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.04)	3.76 ↑ (3.15)	6.04 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
56.6%

Draw
26.8%

Utrera
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.9%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Roque de Lepe's performance.

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Roque de Lepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Roque de Lepe - Utrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Jaime ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 2 - 0, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Roque de Lepe won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

San Roque de Lepe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Roque de Lepe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, San Roque de Lepe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.11.25	Dos Hermanas - San Roque de Lepe	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	San Roque de Lepe - Cadiz CF B	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ciudad de Lucena - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	San Roque de Lepe - Bollullos	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Sevilla C - San Roque de Lepe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTLW
- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.11.25	Utrera - Castilleja	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Coria CF - Utrera	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Utrera - Ceuta B	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Córdoba B - Utrera	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Utrera - Chiclana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.02.25	Utrera - San Roque de Lepe	0:0
06.10.24	San Roque de Lepe - Utrera	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.03.23	Utrera - San Roque de Lepe	0:1
06.11.22	San Roque de Lepe - Utrera	3:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.12.19	Utrera - San Roque de Lepe	1:0
04.05.19	San Roque de Lepe - Utrera	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	San Roque de Lepe - Utrera	1:1

San Roque de Lepe - Utrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide