Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 22

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Taïeb Mehiri (Sfax)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Sfaxien		Gabès

	1	X	2
	1.17	5.15	15.5
	1.22	5.27	17.27
	1.21	4.98	16.82	Watch
	1.22	4.6	17
	1.28	4.94	12.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.38)	4.99 ↑ (3.97)	15.74 ↑ (8.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sfaxien
75.6%

Draw
18.5%

Gabès
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

23.1%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

22.1%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sfaxien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sfaxien's performance.

Gabès has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sfaxien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabès than the current prediction. (+4%)

Sfaxien - Gabès Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dahmen A. (G) 21. Baccar H. 11. Belwafi I. 9. Ben Ali O. 13. Derbali R. 4. Habchia Y. 24. Mathlouthi H. (C) 15. Mondeko Zatu K. 12. Mutyaba T. 32. Ouedraogo H. 25. Sekkouhi F.	22. Chouaya A. (G) 25. Assane R. 5. Belghith M. 6. Ben Amor I. 21. Diolvy Agdavain M. 10. Khadhraoui M. 30. Khedher N. 29. Naffati O. 3. Said N. B. 7. Teka H. 38. Yaakoubi R.
Substitutes
23. Aidi M. 5. Akid A. 28. Chaaben R. 1. Gaaloul M. (G) 19. Karoui N. 17. Mhadhebi M. S. 18. Ogbole E. 7. Onana W. 6. Taifour A.	18. Abdelkarim H. . Bashrawi A. 12. Ben Ammar F. 32. Ben Attig H. (G) 31. Bidani M. . Fessi M. . Hssine A. 13. Jmal H. 26. Touati H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Ben Ali O. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 4.

Sfaxien is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gabès has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gabès may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sfaxien is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sfaxien won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CS Sfaxien	4	2	2	0	6:3	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sfaxien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
15.02.26	Ben Guerdane - Sfaxien	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Sfaxien - Club Africain	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Sfaxien	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Sfaxien - Métlaoui	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Sfaxien - Bizertin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLWW
- AS Gabès
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
13.02.26	Gabès - Bizertin	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Zarzis - Gabès	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Gabès - Étoile du Sahel	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Marsa - Gabès	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Gabès - Olympique Béja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
20.09.25	Gabès - Sfaxien	0:0
29.01.25	Sfaxien - Gabès	1:0
30.05.19	Sfaxien - Gabès	3:0
16.01.19	Gabès - Sfaxien	1:2
10.03.18	Gabès - Sfaxien	1:2
16.12.17	Sfaxien - Gabès	1:1
26.04.15	Gabès - Sfaxien	0:1

Sfaxien - Gabès: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide