Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 14

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Sfera U20		Ituano U20

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.30	3.30
	1.96	3.40	3.20
	1.95	3.24	3.43
	1.95	3.46	3.42	Watch
	1.93	3.20	3.35
	1.92	3.52	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.95)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sfera U20
46.6%

Draw
26.9%

Ituano U20
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sfera U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ituano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfera U20 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Sfera U20 - Ituano U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, ⚽,
71', 3 - 2, ⚽,
77', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).

Sfera U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ituano U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sfera U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sfera U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sfera U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sfera U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sfera FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
28.08.26	Sfera U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Referência U20 - Sfera U20	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Sfera U20 - XV de Jaú U20	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Água Santa U20 - Sfera U20	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Sfera U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWL
- Ituano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	Guarani U20 - Ituano U20	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Ituano U20 - Porto Football Ltda U20	3:1 ✺
11.08.26	Palmeiras U20 - Ituano U20	4:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ituano U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	Água Santa U20 - Ituano U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copinha
13.01.25	Ituano U20 - Sfera U20	1:0 penalties
Brazilian Paulista U20
24.05.24	Ituano U20 - Sfera U20	2:1
19.04.24	Sfera U20 - Ituano U20	3:3

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