Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 12

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Referência U20		Sfera U20

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.25	1.88
	3.45	3.35	1.89
	3.25	3.53	1.92
	3.33	3.62	1.93	Watch
	3.2	3.45	1.89
	3.61	3.41	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	1.91 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Referência U20
26.6%

Draw
26.2%

Sfera U20
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

27.9%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

27.2%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Referência U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sfera U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Referência U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfera U20 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Referência U20 - Sfera U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Referência U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sfera U20 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Referência U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Referência U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sfera U20 is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Referência FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
11.08.26	XV de Jaú U20 - Referência U20	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Grêmio Osasco Audax U20 - Referência U20	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	Referência U20 - Guarani U20	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Porto Football Ltda U20 - Referência U20	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Capivariano U20 - Referência U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Sfera FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
07.08.26	Sfera U20 - XV de Jaú U20	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Água Santa U20 - Sfera U20	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Sfera U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Tanabi U20 - Sfera U20	0:3 ✺
10.07.26	Sfera U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW

Referência U20 - Sfera U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide