Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Al Rashid Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
International	Sport 2 Baltic


	Shabab Al-Ahli		Tractor Sazi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	3.60	4.80
	1.62	3.75	5.40	Watch
	1.72	3.63	5.28
	1.77	3.68	4.38	Watch
	1.65	3.65	5.30
	1.72	3.74	4.94	Watch
	1.71	3.50	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	3.65 ↑ (3.3)	4.97 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ahli
55.3%

Draw
25.8%

Tractor Sazi
18.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shabab Al-Ahli's performance.

Tractor Sazi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Shabab Al Ahli - Tractor Sazi Predictions

Users Predictions: Shabab Al-Ahli will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Matheus Donelli (G) 3. Gomes I. 44. Fernandes J. 13. Renan 16. Rikelme 24. Markelo J. 6. Ezatolahi S. (C) 8. Al Mansouri M. 57. Yuri Cesar 88. Maksimovic N. 20. Azmoun S.	81. Jafari P. (G) 11. Esmaeilifar D. 58. Daneshgar M. 3. Khalilzadeh S. (C) 22. Naderi M. 17. Kazemayn M. 5. Khamrobekov O. 6. Hosseini M. 7. Halilovic T. 99. Hosseinzadeh A. 19. Strkalj T.
Substitutes
21. Adil S. 11. Al Ghassani Y. 1. Al Menhali R. (G) 26. Al Nuaimi E. 10. Cartabia F. 9. Ghandipour R. 5. Irala E. 79. Joao Marcelo 30. Keita O. 19. Mateusao 23. Seifi M. 70. Thiago	44. Darvishaali E. 33. Faraji F. 71. Fazeli M. 10. Habibinejad H. 88. Karimazar S. 27. Khorrami A. 70. Moghanlou S. 18. Moharrami S. 77. Namari K. 2. Shiri M. 4. Zakipour M.
Coaches
Jardine A.	Nekounam J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Yuri Cesar ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hosseini M. ↓, Shiri M. ↑,
49', Khamrobekov O. 🟨,
64', Azmoun S. ↓, Mateusao ↑,
64', Al Mansouri M. ↓, Cartabia F. ↑,
69', Esmaeilifar D. ↓, Moharrami S. ↑,
69', Strkalj T. ↓, Moghanlou S. ↑,
74', Rikelme ↓, Seifi M. ↑,
75', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Irala E. ↑,
78', Fernandes J. 🟨,
87', Markelo J. ↓, Al Ghassani Y. ↑,
88', Khamrobekov O. ↓, Fazeli M. ↑,
88', Kazemayn M. ↓, Habibinejad H. ↑,
89', Moharrami S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Shabab Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shabab Al-Ahli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of AFC Champions League for now

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 2.93% Tractor: 0.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
UAE Football League
10.09.26	United FC - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Jazira	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Dhafra	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Khor Fakkan - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWWW
- Tractor Sazi FC
Iran Pro League
10.09.26	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Tractor Sazi	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tractor Sazi - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Chadormalou Ardakan - Tractor Sazi	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Tractor Sazi - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
14.04.26	Tractor Sazi - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:3
16.09.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Tractor Sazi	1:1

Shabab Al-Ahli - Tractor Sazi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide