Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Shabab Al Sahel		Al-Safa Beyrut

	1	X	2
	3.60	2.90	2.00
	4.55	3	1.78
	4.51	3.09	1.79
	4.62	3.17	1.8
	4.5	2.88	1.8
	4.61	3.04	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.4)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	1.83 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al Sahel
20.6%

Draw
30%

Al-Safa Beyrut
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

29.1%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shabab Al Sahel's form might have worsened.

Al-Safa Beyrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Safa Beyrut's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al Sahel than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Al Sahel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Shabab Al Sahel - Al Safa Beyrut Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Safa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Shabab Al Sahel (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shabab Al Sahel (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Safa (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Salloum A. ⚽, Koita M. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 5).

Shabab Al Sahel has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Safa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shabab Al Sahel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shabab Al Sahel has had a series of away games.

Recently, Al-Safa has had a series of home games.

Al-Safa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al Sahel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home match between the teams, Shabab Al Sahel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Safa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Al Sahel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
22.02.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Shabab Al Sahel	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Hekmeh - Shabab Al Sahel	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Shabab Al Sahel - Nejmeh	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Tadamon Sour - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Mabarrah - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTWL
- Al-Safa Beyrut
Lebanese Premier League
16.05.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Safa Beyrut	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Safa Beyrut - Racing Beirut	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Hekmeh - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Safa Beyrut - Nejmeh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
30.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0
31.01.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	2:0
25.08.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:1
26.11.22	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	0:2

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