Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)


	Al-Ahed		Shabab Al Sahel

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.60	5.00
	1.55	3.65	5.15	Watch
	1.56	3.72	4.96
	1.6	3.69	5.2	Watch
	1.54	3.65	4.9
	1.61	3.79	5.12
	1.57	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)	3.69 ↓ (3.78)	5.08 ↓ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahed
57.6%

Draw
24.5%

Shabab Al Sahel
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

24.3%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Shabab Al Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Al Ahed - Shabab Al Sahel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Ito ⚽, Kawam B. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Nasser M. ⚽, Al Massri M. (A),
45+1', 3 - 0, Antar F. ⚽, Al Massri M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 3 - 1, Dakwar H. ⚽,
68', 3 - 2, Dakwar H. ⚽,
87', 4 - 2, Jouni S. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 4.

Al-Ahed may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Ahed is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:6. (average 3.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahed won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Ahed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Al Sahel	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
24.06.26	Al-Ahed - Al-Safa Beyrut	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Ahed	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	Nejmeh - Al-Ahed	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Ahed	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWT
- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
24.06.26	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Abbassieh	3:0 ✺
16.06.26	Shabab Al Sahel - Racing Beirut	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Shabab Al Sahel	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Hekmeh - Shabab Al Sahel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
20.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	2:1
30.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	1:8
24.09.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	0:5
Lebanese Cup
24.04.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	0:4
Lebanese Premier League
04.03.23	Al-Ahed - Shabab Al Sahel	2:0
13.01.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	1:2
17.09.22	Al-Ahed - Shabab Al Sahel	0:1

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