Match Info

KENYA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday


	Shabana		Mombasa Elite

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.81	5.41
	1.42	4.25	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.69)	4.03 ↑ (3)	6.11 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabana
63%

Draw
22.3%

Mombasa Elite
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

30.2%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

29.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shabana's performance.

Mombasa Elite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shabana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa Elite than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mombasa Elite could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shabana is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shabana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabana FC
Kenyan Super League
14.04.23	Assad - Shabana	3:1 ✺
09.04.23	Shabana - Silibwet Leons	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Kajiado - Shabana	0:3 ✺
25.03.23	Kisumu All-Stars - Shabana	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Shabana - Muranga Seal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLW
- Mombasa Elite
Kenyan Super League
14.04.23	Mombasa Elite - Kibera Black Stars	2:1 ✺
03.04.23	Mombasa Elite - Coastal Heroes	2:2 ✺
20.03.23	Naivas - Mombasa Elite	3:1 ✺
15.03.23	Mombasa Elite - Mwatate United	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Mara Sugar - Mombasa Elite	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
14.12.22	Mombasa Elite - Shabana	0:1

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