Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 23 November 2023, Thursday


	Shahrdari Astara		Kheybar Khorramabad

	1	X	2
	4.5	2.75	1.87
	4.3	2.56	2.09
	4.3	2.54	2.09
	4.2	2.76	2
	4.9	2.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (4.5)	2.69 ↓ (2.7)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahrdari Astara
20.4%

Draw
33.7%

Kheybar Khorramabad
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

33.3%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

32.8%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahrdari Astara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kheybar Khorramabad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahrdari Astara than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shahrdari Astara won 1.

Recent matches Shahrdari Astara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kheybar Khorramabad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Kheybar Khorramabad is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Shahrdari Astara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Shahrdari Astara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahrdari Astara
Iran Division 1
15.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Shahrdari Astara	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Shahrdari Astara - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Shahrdari Astara - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
27.10.23	Darya Babol - Shahrdari Astara	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Shahrdari Astara - SaiPa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLT
- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Division 1
15.11.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	2:1 ✺
09.11.23	Darya Babol - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
27.10.23	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Khoosheh Talai	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
17.05.23	Shahrdari Astara - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1
25.12.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shahrdari Astara	0:0
21.02.22	Shahrdari Astara - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0
16.10.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shahrdari Astara	1:0
27.06.21	Shahrdari Astara - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:4
13.02.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shahrdari Astara	1:2

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