Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Shahrdari Hamedan		Arman Gohar

	1	X	2
	1.71	2.87	5.25
	1.69	2.9	5.2
	1.68	2.89	5.42
	1.79	2.65	5.85
	1.72	2.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.72)	2.85 ↑ (2.32)	5.42 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahrdari Hamedan
52.1%

Draw
31.4%

Arman Gohar
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

38.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

40%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahrdari Hamedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shahrdari Hamedan's performance.

Arman Gohar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arman Gohar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahrdari Hamedan than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shahrdari Hamedan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arman Gohar than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arman Gohar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	50%	28.6%

Shahrdari Hamedan - Arman Gohar Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Shahrdari Hamedan will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Arman Gohar will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 6 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Shahrdari Hamedan is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shahrdari Hamedan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Shahrdari Hamedan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahrdari Hamedan
Iran Division 1
31.10.22	Darya Babol - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0 ✺
25.10.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Esteghlal Molasani	0:0 ✺
18.10.22	Khoosheh Talai - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0 ✺
12.10.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Chooka Talesh	3:0 ✺
06.10.22	Chadormalou Ardakan - Shahrdari Hamedan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTTWT
- Arman Gohar
Iran Division 1
31.10.22	Arman Gohar - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:3 ✺
25.10.22	Darya Babol - Arman Gohar	0:0 ✺
19.10.22	Arman Gohar - Shahrdari Astara	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Arman Gohar	0:1 ✺
06.10.22	Arman Gohar - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
05.03.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Arman Gohar	0:2
31.10.21	Arman Gohar - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0

Shahrdari Hamedan - Arman Gohar