Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Shahrdari Hamedan		Shahrdari Astara

	1	X	2
	1.7	2.87	5.5
	1.62	2.85	6
	1.66	2.91	6.36
	1.64	3.1	6.4
	1.66	2.95	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2)	2.94 ↑ (2.72)	6.13 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahrdari Hamedan
54.5%

Draw
30.8%

Shahrdari Astara
14.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

33%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

31.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahrdari Hamedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shahrdari Hamedan's performance.

Shahrdari Astara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shahrdari Astara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahrdari Hamedan than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shahrdari Hamedan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahrdari Astara than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shahrdari Astara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Shahrdari Hamedan - Shahrdari Astara Predictions

Users Predictions: Shahrdari Hamedan will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15).

Shahrdari Hamedan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shahrdari Astara is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Shahrdari Hamedan is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shahrdari Hamedan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Shahrdari Hamedan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahrdari Hamedan
Iran Division 1
06.11.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Arman Gohar	1:0 ✺
31.10.22	Darya Babol - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0 ✺
25.10.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Esteghlal Molasani	0:0 ✺
18.10.22	Khoosheh Talai - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0 ✺
12.10.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Chooka Talesh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTTW
- Shahrdari Astara
Iran Division 1
06.11.22	Shahrdari Astara - Darya Babol	0:0 ✺
31.10.22	Khoosheh Talai - Shahrdari Astara	1:0 ✺
19.10.22	Arman Gohar - Shahrdari Astara	1:0 ✺
12.10.22	Shahrdari Astara - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
06.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Shahrdari Astara	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
18.04.22	Shahrdari Astara - Shahrdari Hamedan	2:2
08.12.21	Shahrdari Hamedan - Shahrdari Astara	1:1

Shahrdari Hamedan - Shahrdari Astara