Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Shahrdari Hamedan		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	5	2.8	1.78
	4.84	3	1.77
	5.55	2.8	1.82
	5.2	2.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (4.17)	2.86 ↑ (2.53)	1.79 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahrdari Hamedan
17.6%

Draw
31.7%

Shams Azar Qazvin
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

34.9%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

33.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahrdari Hamedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shams Azar Qazvin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahrdari Hamedan than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shams Azar Qazvin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Shahrdari Hamedan - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shahrdari Hamedan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shams Azar Qazvin: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

Recent matches Shahrdari Hamedan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shams Azar Qazvin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shams Azar Qazvin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shahrdari Hamedan have a series of home games.

In this match Shams Azar Qazvin is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shahrdari Hamedan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Shahrdari Hamedan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahrdari Hamedan
Iran Division 1
31.01.23	Shahrdari Hamedan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0 ✺
24.01.23	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Shahrdari Hamedan	3:0 ✺
19.01.23	Shahrdari Hamedan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
11.01.23	Shahrdari Hamedan - Darya Babol	1:2 pen. ✺
Iran Division 1
31.12.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLW
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Division 1
06.02.23	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Molasani	0:0 ✺
31.01.23	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Shams Azar Qazvin - Darya Babol	1:1 ✺
18.01.23	Khoosheh Talai - Shams Azar Qazvin	Shams Azar Qazvin awarded ✺
25.12.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Arman Gohar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWT?W

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
20.09.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Shahrdari Hamedan	2:1
27.05.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Shahrdari Hamedan	1:2
23.01.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:2

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