Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 25 December 2022, Sunday


	Shams Azar Qazvin		Arman Gohar

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.1	9.75
	1.28	4.3	8.8
	1.31	4.39	8.84
	1.34	4	9
	1.29	4.6	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.73)	4.28 ↑ (3.07)	9.2 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shams Azar Qazvin
69.1%

Draw
21.1%

Arman Gohar
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

29.1%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

27.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shams Azar Qazvin's performance.

Arman Gohar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arman Gohar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shams Azar Qazvin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arman Gohar than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arman Gohar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Shams Azar Qazvin - Arman Gohar Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Arman Gohar will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shams Azar Qazvin: 29.6% – 90.4%.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League and 11).

Shams Azar Qazvin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arman Gohar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Shams Azar Qazvin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shams Azar Qazvin to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shams Azar Qazvin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Shams Azar Qazvin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Division 1
19.12.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
18.11.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Chooka Talesh	4:1 ✺
12.11.22	Chadormalou Ardakan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:2 ✺
31.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWTW
- Arman Gohar
Iran Division 1
19.12.22	Arman Gohar - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	1:1 ✺
18.11.22	SaiPa - Arman Gohar	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Arman Gohar - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Arman Gohar	1:0 ✺
31.10.22	Arman Gohar - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
22.05.22	Arman Gohar - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:1
12.01.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Arman Gohar	1:3

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