Match Info

First League - Round 4

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Shakhter Karagandy		Tobol 2

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.3	13.5
	1.16	5.9	16.87	Watch
	1.14	6.3	12.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.2)	6.17 ↑ (5.35)	14.36 ↑ (14.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
79%

Draw
14.7%

Tobol 2
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.4%

17.1%

6.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tobol 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Shakhter Karagandy - Tobol 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Nusip A. ⚽, Litosh A. (A),
72', 2 - 0, Litosh A. ⚽, Vasilchenko D. (A),
90+4', 3 - 0, Sautov A. ⚽, Aymanov A. (A),

Preview

Shakhter Karagandy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	23	20	2	1	64:8	56	62
13	Tobol 2	23	4	4	15	40:57	-17	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
23.04.26	Arys - Shakhter Karagandy	0:6 ✺
17.04.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Batyr Ekibastuz	4:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
09.04.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:3 ✺
Kazakh First League
03.04.26	Kairat 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Turkistan	Shakhter Karagandy awarded
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLT?
- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
24.04.26	Tobol 2 - Turan Turkistan	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Tobol 2	3:0 ✺
02.04.26	Tobol 2 - Yelimay 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLT

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