Match Info

Kazakhstan Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Shakhter Stadion (Karaganda)

Referee: Idrisov S. (Kaz)


	Shakhter Karagandy		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.45	2.2	Watch
	2.68	3.37	2.40	Watch
	2.79	3.45	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.76)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
33.3%

Draw
26.6%

Okzhetpes
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.2%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Litosh A. ⚽, Aymanov A. (A),
45+7', 2 - 0, Litosh A. ⚽, Nurmugamet R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 2 - 1, Nurgaliyev E. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Buribaev N. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Vasiljev V. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhter Karagandy won 4.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shakhter Karagandy won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shakhter Karagandy won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
03.04.26	Kairat 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Turkistan	Shakhter Karagandy awarded
17.10.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Shakhter Karagandy	3:2 ✺
03.10.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Taraz	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 T?LWW
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.26	Zhenis - Okzhetpes	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Okzhetpes - Yelimay Semey	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Okzhetpes - Turan Turkistan	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
19.08.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:0
Kazakh Cup
29.04.23	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	0:5
Kazakh Premier League
23.04.23	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1
Kazakh Cup
19.04.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
04.11.20	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:1
29.08.20	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1
26.10.19	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:2

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