Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin)

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)


	Shamrock Rovers		Breiðablik

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2.12	3.3	3.5
	2.05	3.35	3.84
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.06	3.38	3.62	Watch
	2.14	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.33)	3.31 ↓ (4.73)	3.56 ↓ (8.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
45.2%

Draw
28.4%

Breiðablik
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

19.5%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

18.6%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamrock Rovers's form might have worsened.

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Breiðablik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+27.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Breiðablik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.9%	8.1%	29%

Shamrock Rovers - Breiðablik Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 39 - 62.9%). Breiðablik will win (votes: 18 - 29%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 50.9% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Pohls L. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. 3. Hoare S. 8. Finn R. (C) 7. Watts D. 16. O'Neill G. 19. Poom M. 11. Kavanagh S. 29. Byrne J. 20. Gaffney R.	1. Einarsson A. (G) 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 4. Muminovic D. 21. Margeirsson V. 30. Yeoman A. 8. Einarsson V. 3. Sigurjonsson O. 11. Eyjolfsson G. 14. Svanthorsson J. 20. Olsen K. 10. Steindorsson K.
Substitutes
10. Burke G. 31. Cruise K. 5. Grace L. 9. Greene A. 24. Kenny J. 1. Mannus A. (G) 34. Noonan C. 14. Power S. 39. Razi N. 17. Towell R.	5. Adalsteinsson A. 12. Bragason B. (G) 19. Gunnarsson A. 22. Hlynsson A. 25. Ingvarsson D. 13. Ludviksson A. 26. Orrason A. H. 6. Sigurdarson A. 28. Stefansson O.
Coaches
Bradley S.	Thorvaldsson O.

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Breiðablik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Breiðablik have a series of guest games.

In this match Shamrock is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
07.07.23	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
30.06.23	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Shamrock Rovers - Derry City	1:0 ✺
23.06.23	Bohemians Dublin - Shamrock Rovers	2:2 ✺
09.06.23	Shamrock Rovers - University College Dublin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWTW
- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
07.07.23	Breiðablik - Fylkir	5:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
04.07.23	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	4:3 penalties ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.06.23	Budućnost Podgorica - Breiðablik	0:5 ✺
27.06.23	Tre Penne - Breiðablik	1:7 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
23.06.23	HK Kópavogur - Breiðablik	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL

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