The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shamrock Rovers 51.3%
Draw 27.4%
Derry City 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
28.4%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
26.9%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shamrock Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95.2%
4.8%
0%
Shamrock Rovers - Derry City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Shamrock Rovers will win
(20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shamrock Rovers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McGinty E. (G) 22. Sobowale T. 5. Grace L. (C) 27. O'Sullivan C. 11. Mulraney J. 8. Healy M. 29. Byrne J. 19. Brennan A. 7. Watts D. 31. Noonan M. 10. Burke G.
13. Beach E. (G) 22. Barr C. 23. Dummigan C. 3. McClean P. 21. Santos K. 8. O'Reilly A. 16. McClean J. 2. Cotter B. 7. Duffy M. (C) 27. Boyce L. 19. Fleming B.
Substitutes
9. Greene A. 38. Kovalevskis M. 23. Malley C. 3. Matthews A. 88. McGovern J. 41. Noonan A. (G) 26. O'Sullivan J. 28. Razi N. 2. Stevens E.
32. Doherty T. 31. Downey C. 99. Kelly L. 1. Maher B. (G) 10. Markey D. 33. O'Brien O. 34. O'Donnell J. 28. Olayinka J. 20. Winchester C.
Coaches
Bradley S.
Lynch T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', McClean J. 🟨,
24', Santos K. ↓, Markey D. ↑,
25', 0 - 1, Boyce L. ⚽, McClean J. (A),
45+4', Fleming B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Dummigan C. 🟨,
56', Markey D. ↓, Winchester C. ↑,
56', Dummigan C. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
56', Burke G. 🟨,
61', Boyce L. 🟨,
70', Watts D. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
70', Burke G. ↓, Razi N. ↑,
70', O'Sullivan C. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
70', Noonan M. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
72', Boyce L. ↓, Doherty T. ↑,
72', McClean J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
76', Mulraney J. ↓, Kovalevskis M. ↑,
77', Winchester C. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Greene A. ⚽, McGovern J. (A),
89', Brennan A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Shamrock is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Shamrock: Asamoah M.
(Injury)
Cleary D.
(Suspended)
Gaffney R.
(Ankle Injury)
Grant D.
(Inactive)
Lopes R.
(International duty)
Mandroiu D.
(Knee Injury)
Ozhianvuna V.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Derry: Slevin R.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1:0.5).
Outrights of Irish Premier Division for now
Shamrock Rovers: 77.49%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers
33
19
8
6
54:33
21
65
5
Derry City
32
9
14
9
45:42
3
41
Last Results with these Odds
Shamrock Rovers - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.38%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
World
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McGinty E. (G) 
Beach E. (G) 
Barr C. 
Santos K. 
Fleming B. 
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