Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)


	Shamrock Rovers		Shkupi

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2.04	3.4	3.75
	2.07	3.25	3.6
	2.03	3.42	3.83
	2.05	3.3	3.7
	1.97	3.4	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.95)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	3.7 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
46.5%

Draw
28.1%

Shkupi
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Shkupi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	5.4%	5.4%

Shamrock Rovers - Shkupi Predictions

Users Predictions: Shamrock Rovers will win (180 of 202 users predict this - 89.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.81% – 93.41%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Shamrock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shamrock will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
Irish FAI Cup
29.07.22	Bangor Celtic - Shamrock Rovers	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Shamrock Rovers - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
23.07.22	Shamrock Rovers - Drogheda United	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Shamrock Rovers	3:0 ✺
12.07.22	Paola Hibernians - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTLT
- FK Shkupi
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Shkupi - Dinamo Zagreb	0:1 ✺
19.07.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Shkupi	2:2 ✺
12.07.22	Lincoln Red Imps - Shkupi	2:0 ✺
05.07.22	Shkupi - Lincoln Red Imps	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.06.22	Fenerbahçe - Shkupi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.6 LTLWT

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