Match Info

Date: 19 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	CMore
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.6	6.75
	1.55	3.8	7
	1.51	3.75	6.2
	1.53	3.92	7.01
	1.53	3.75	7	Watch
	1.49	3.95	6.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.35)	3.77 ↓ (5.13)	6.76 ↓ (8.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
61.4%

Draw
24.8%

Shamrock Rovers
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

19.8%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets Razgrad's form might have worsened.

Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	5.5%	8.2%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (95 of 110 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.95% – 92.77%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Ludogorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ludogorets is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ludogorets to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.07.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Sutjeska - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.07.22	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.07.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Sutjeska	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Nürnberg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Paola Hibernians - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
05.07.22	Shamrock Rovers - Paola Hibernians	3:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
01.07.22	Finn Harps - Shamrock Rovers	0:1 ✺
27.06.22	St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
24.06.22	Shamrock Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWWW

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