The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shamrock Rovers 36.7%
Draw 29.8%
St Patricks Athletic 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
29.8%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
29.2%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
30.8%
7.7%
Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). St Patricks will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 35% – 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McGinty E. (G) 22. Sobowale T. 5. Grace L. (C) 3. Stevens E. 11. Mulraney J. 8. Healy M. 29. Byrne J. 27. O'Sullivan C. 7. Watts D. 10. Burke G. 88. McGovern J.
94. Anang J. (G) 23. Brown J. 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 24. Turner L. 6. Lennon J. 19. Baggley B. 10. Leavy K. 17. Palmer R. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 27. Edmondson R.
Substitutes
9. Greene A. 38. Kovalevskis M. 23. Malley C. 2. Matthews A. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 26. O'Sullivan J. 28. Razi N. 24. Vassenin E.
3. Breslin A. 5. Grivosti T. 9. Keena A. 18. Mata M. A. 11. McClelland J. 16. Nugent D. 42. Nzingo G. 1. Rogers D. (G) 48. Sheridan R.
Coaches
Bradley S.
Kenny S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Burke G. ⚽, Watts D. (A),
33', Byrne J. 🟨,
36', Healy M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Hoare S. 🟨,
63', Baggley B. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
64', McGovern J. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
67', Mulraney J. ↓, Kovalevskis M. ↑,
74', Burke G. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
74', Byrne J. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
74', Watts D. ↓, Malley C. ↑,
77', Turner L. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
77', Edmondson R. ↓, Mata M. A. ↑,
77', Palmer R. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
83', Greene A. 🟨,
84', Brown J. ↓, Nzingo G. ↑,
88', Redmond J. 🟨,
90+5', McGinty E. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
St Patricks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Shamrock might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Shamrock: Asamoah M.
(Inactive)
Gaffney R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mandroiu D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in St Patricks: Power S.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:12. (average 2.2:1.1).
Outrights of Irish Premier Division for now
Shamrock Rovers: 77.49% St. Patricks: 21.55%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers
33
19
8
6
54:33
21
65
2
St. Patricks
32
17
8
7
52:25
27
59
Last Results with these Odds
Shamrock Rovers - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.