The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Derry City 30.6%
Draw 31.6%
St Patricks Athletic 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
29.6%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
30.3%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derry City's form might have worsened.
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.7%
43.7%
37.5%
Derry City - St Patricks Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). St Patricks will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Beach E. (G) 22. Barr C. 4. Stott J. 19. Fleming B. 2. Cotter B. 8. O'Reilly A. 28. Olayinka J. 16. McClean J. (C) 21. Santos K. 15. Clarke J. 23. Dummigan C.
94. Anang J. (G) 23. Brown J. 4. Redmond J. (C) 5. Grivosti T. 24. Turner L. 6. Lennon J. 16. Nugent D. 10. Leavy K. 8. Forrester C. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 27. Edmondson R.
Substitutes
9. Akinyemi D. 25. Bannon A. 27. Boyce L. 26. Callister S. (G) 14. Doherty B. 31. Downey C. 10. Markey D. 24. Rylah H. 17. Thomas J.
19. Baggley B. 15. Boyce R. 3. Breslin A. 9. Keena A. 18. Mata M. A. 11. McClelland J. 42. Nzingo G. 17. Palmer R. 1. Rogers D. (G)
Coaches
Lynch T.
Kenny S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Dummigan C. 🟨,
33', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
38', Lennon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Brown J. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
60', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
62', McClean J. ↓, Rylah H. ↑,
72', Forrester C. ↓, Palmer R. ↑,
74', Dummigan C. ↓, Markey D. ↑,
76', Santos K. 🟨,
77', Stott J. 🟨,
79', Cotter B. 🟨,
81', Edmondson R. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
82', Clarke J. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
90+6', Thomas J. 🟨,
90+7', Redmond J. 🟨,
90+7', Rylah H. 🟨,
90+7', Markey D. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Inactive)
Maher B.
(Inactive)
McClean J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in St Patricks: Hoare S.
(Red Card)
Power S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Derry: Slevin R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in St Patricks: Boyce R.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 1.7:0.5).
Ireland
Watch
#ad
Beach E. (G) 
Barr C. 
Stott J. 
Cotter B. 
Santos K. 
Anang J. (G) 
Bannon A. 
Mata M. A. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
