The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Galway United 18.7%
Draw 23.5%
St Patricks Athletic 57.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.6%
25.5%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
24.6%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galway United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Galway United - St Patricks Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Galway United will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). St Patricks will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Cunha H. (G) 3. Barratt C. 2. O'Connor A. 12. Facchineri G. 11. Twardek K. 8. Bolger A. 10. Hurley D. 20. Devitt L. 4. Keohane J. (C) 7. Walsh S. 24. McCarthy E.
94. Anang J. (G) 4. Redmond J. (C) 16. Nugent D. 24. Turner L. 8. Forrester C. 23. Brown J. 48. Sheridan R. 17. Palmer R. 11. McClelland J. 27. Edmondson R. 9. Keena A.
Substitutes
32. Angelini V. (G) 21. Connolly D. 9. Lomboto F. 28. Morahan J. 23. Pierrot F. 17. Thiam J. 54. Whittaker C.
19. Baggley B. 3. Breslin A. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 2. Hoare S. 10. Leavy K. 6. Lennon J. 33. McHale S. 21. Olusanya A. 1. Rogers D. (G)
Coaches
Caulfield J.
Kenny S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Barratt C. 🟨,
61', Sheridan R. ↓, Hoare S. ↑,
61', Palmer R. ↓, Leavy K. ↑,
70', Hoare S. 🟨,
72', Hoare S. ↓, McHale S. ↑,
80', McCarthy E. ↓, Connolly D. ↑,
80', Twardek K. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
81', Devitt L. 🟨,
82', Forrester C. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
82', Keena A. ↓, Lennon J. ↑,
87', Bolger A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Galway United (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by St Patricks have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Galway United may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, St Patricks is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Galway United: Brouder K.
(Knock)
McGuinness D.
(Injury)
Piesold A.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for St Patricks: Boyce R.
(Injury)
Power S.
(Knee Injury)
Rooney S.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for St Patricks: Mata M. A.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Galway United has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:30 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Galway United against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
St. Patricks
36
17
9
10
55:31
24
60
8
Galway
36
10
12
14
46:53
-7
42
Last Results with these Odds
St Patricks Athletic - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.86%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.