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Current Win Probability
Shams Azar Qazvin 24.6%
Draw 36.5%
Gol Gohar Sirjan 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.5%
36.3%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
30.8%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Gol Gohar Sirjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gol Gohar Sirjan than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Shams Azar Qazvin - Gol Gohar Sirjan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Asadi M. (G) 23. Hosseini S. M. 19. Karami A. 2. Nejadmehdi M. 30. Taher A. 11. Mamizadeh M. 10. Mohkamkar A. 7. Mohammadi R. 48. Sourgi M. 71. Moazemitabar S. 18. Jelokhani Niaraki A.
1. Garousian F. (G) 2. Najjarian M. 5. Kor M. 3. Hosseini E. 19. Ghazipour P. 4. Alizadeh A. 6. Masoumi M. 13. Alinejad M. 99. Ben Hassine L. 11. Goudarzi M. 10. Aliyari M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
15', Alizadeh A. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Aliyari M. ⚽, Najjarian M. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Alinejad M. ⚽, Garousian F. (A),
31', Jelokhani Niaraki A. ↓, Mansouri M. ↑,
36', 1 - 2, Mamizadeh M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 3, Nejadmehdi M. (Own goal),
44', Mansouri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mohkamkar A. ↓, Nasiri A. ↑,
64', Moazemitabar S. 🟨,
66', Moazemitabar S. ↓, Zand A. ↑,
71', Hosseini S. M. 🟨,
74', Goudarzi M. ↓, Zendehrouh A. ↑,
74', Alinejad M. ↓, Jafari A. ↑,
75', Mamizadeh M. ↓, Aghamohammadi M. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Sourgi M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Aliyari M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
Recent performances by Shams Azar Qazvin have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gol Gohar Sirjan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Gol Gohar Sirjan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shams Azar Qazvin won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Shams Azar Qazvin won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Gol Gohar
7
3
1
3
7:7
0
10
16
Shams Azar Qazvin
7
1
2
4
6:9
-3
5
Last Results with these Odds
Gol Gohar Sirjan - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.24%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Asadi M. (G) 
Ben Hassine L. 
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