Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 20

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Sardar Azadegan Stadium (Qazvin)


	Shams Azar Qazvin		Malavan

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.37	3.2
	2.83	2.41	3.39
	2.78	2.31	3.39	Watch
	2.5	2.6	3.1
	2.74	2.61	3.13	Watch
	2.65	2.37	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.42)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)	3.24 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shams Azar Qazvin
34.1%

Draw
37.5%

Malavan
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

34.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

33.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Malavan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	77.8%	0%

Shams Azar Qazvin - Malavan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Forouzan M. (G) 77. Azadmanesh A. 76. Shabani A. 33. Rabizadeh H. 3. Mohammadi M. 23. Alousabih S. 60. Ahmadreza Z. 66. Azadeh M. 79. Mahrooghi E. 90. Moamelehgari F. 89. Ghaseminejad A.	33. Far Abbasi H. (G) 3. Barzayi B. 91. Fallah S. 24. Eiri D. 5. Karimi S. 88. Eslamikhah G. 6. Noorafkan O. 86. Jafari F. 28. Entezari N. 11. Jafari R. 30. Ramezani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jafari F. ↓, Sadeghi H. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Eslamikhah G. (Pen),
62', Azadeh M. ↓, Fakhrian M. ↑,
86', Mahrooghi E. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Malavan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shams Azar Qazvin won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Hazfi Cup
13.02.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal	1:2 ET ✺
Iran Pro League
06.02.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
27.01.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:1 ✺
20.01.25	Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LLTTW
- Malavan
Iran Hazfi Cup
14.02.25	Malavan - Zob Ahan	1:0 ET ✺
Iran Pro League
07.02.25	Malavan - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Malavan	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Malavan - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
20.01.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Malavan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
20.09.24	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:0
11.05.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Malavan	1:0
08.12.23	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:2
Iran Division 1
16.05.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Malavan	0:0
07.01.22	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0

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