The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shams Azar Qazvin 11.7%
Draw 26%
Sepahan 62.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.8%
30.7%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
30%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shams Azar Qazvin's form might have worsened.
Sepahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sepahan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sepahan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Zarei A. (G) 30. Taher A. 20. Rezaei A. 2. Nejadmehdi M. 19. Karami A. 11. Mamizadeh M. 10. Mohkamkar A. 86. Nasiri A. 48. Sourgi M. 16. Mansouri M. 7. Mohammadi R.
1. Hosseini S. (G) 14. Yousefi A. 2. Mohammadi H. 5. Hazbavi M. 28. Hajsafi E. 6. Hajieydi A. 19. Noorafkan O. 79. Lotfi M. 88. Rezavand A. 7. Limouchi M. 9. Rezaei K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Azadegan League and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shams Azar Qazvin won 0.
Shams Azar Qazvin has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sepahan is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sepahan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Sepahan as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Shams Azar Qazvin has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:10 (averaging 0.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shams Azar Qazvin against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Sepahan
10
6
2
2
17:6
11
20
16
Shams Azar Qazvin
10
1
4
5
7:12
-5
7
Last Results with these Odds
Sepahan - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 52.44%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Iran
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Zarei A. (G) 
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