Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 7

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Jinan)

Referee: Wei Z. (Chn)


	Shandong Taishan		Cangzhou Mighty Lions

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	6	Watch
	1.51	4.1	5.25
	1.52	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.59	5.8
	1.51	4.6	5.74
	1.5	4.33	5
	1.53	4.65	5.56	Watch
	1.52	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	4.43 ↓ (4.54)	5.51 ↓ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Taishan
61.8%

Draw
21.2%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

20.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

19.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: Shandong Taishan will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Wang Dalei (G) 17. Wu Xinghan 4. Jadson (C) 31. Zhao Jianfei 11. Liu Yang 28. Mijit Mewlan 35. Huang Zhengyu 22. LI Yuanyi 10. Qazaishvili V. 32. Fernandinho 8. Delgado P.	14. Shao Puliang (C) 17. Wen Da 36. Yang Yun 3. Sunzu S. 15. Wang Peng 5. Yan Zihao 10. Taty Maritu O. 11. Tudi Dilyimit 8. Zhao Yingjie 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 9. Heber
Substitutes
30. Abudulam Abdursul 29. Chen Pu 9. Cryzan 33. Gao Zhunyi 18. Han Rongze (G) 37. Ji Xiang 20. Liao Lisheng 21. Liu Binbin 26. Liu Shibo (G) 27. Shi Ke 15. Shi Songchen 13. Zhang Chi	37. Dong Hang (G) 29. Han Feng (G) 33. Hu Jiali 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 27. Ma Fuyu 32. Sun M. 13. Sun Qinhan 18. Yao X. 7. Zheng Dalun 16. Zheng Kaimu 19. Zhukov G.
Coaches
Choi Kang-Hee	Zhao Junzhe

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', Mijit Mewlan ↓, Abudulam Abdursul ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Abudulam Abdursul ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
39', 2 - 0, LI Yuanyi ⚽,
44', Yan Zihao ↓, Sun Qinhan ↑,
45+4', 3 - 0, Fernandinho (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shao Puliang ↓, Dong Hang ↑,
63', Solomon-Otabor V. ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
63', Heber ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Qazaishvili V. ⚽,
68', LI Yuanyi ↓, Gao Zhunyi ↑,
68', Jadson ↓, Liao Lisheng ↑,
74', Tudi Dilyimit ↓, Hu Jiali ↑,
77', Qazaishvili V. ↓, Cryzan ↑,
77', Huang Zhengyu ↓, Chen Pu ↑,
90+5', 4 - 1, Taty Maritu O. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shandong Taishan won 3.

Shandong Taishan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cangzhou is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Shandong Taishan is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Shandong Taishan won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Shandong Taishan won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
14.04.24	Shanghai Port - Shandong Taishan	4:3 ✺
09.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:2 ✺
05.04.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
13.03.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shandong Taishan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTWLL
- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
14.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao West Coast	3:2 ✺
10.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:3 ✺
29.03.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:2 ✺
10.03.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
13.08.23	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0
14.05.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shandong Taishan	1:1
30.11.22	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:3
12.08.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shandong Taishan	0:2
11.08.21	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:1
21.07.21	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shandong Taishan	0:2
13.07.16	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0

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