Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	GolStadium


	Shanghai Port		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.75
	2.6	3.45	2.55	Watch
	2.69	3.55	2.65
	2.59	3.49	2.55	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.88
	2.61	3.62	2.57	Watch
	2.6	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)	3.48 ↓ (3.57)	2.64 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Port
37.4%

Draw
27%

Chengdu Rongcheng
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

26.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Shanghai Port - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yan Junling (C) 15. Ming Tian 13. Wei Zhen 40. Yusup Umidjan 32. Li Shuai 49. Li X. 22. Matheus Jussa 10. Mateus Vital 30. Gabrielzinho 9. Gustavo 45. Leonardo	32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 2. Hu H. 5. Letschert T. 26. Yuan Mincheng 22. Li Y. 11. Gurfinkel Y. 10. Romulo 8. Chow T. 16. Yang Ming-Yang 7. Wei Shihao 9. Felipe Silva
Substitutes
12. Chen Wei (G) 36. Haliq Ablahan 47. Kuai Jiwen 2. Li Ang 14. Li Shenglong 26. Liu Ruofan 11. Lu Wenjun 52. Meng Jingchao 17. Shen Zigui 4. Wang Shenchao 7. Wu Lei 6. Xu Xin	4. Delgado P. 19. Dong Y. 39. Gan Chao 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 23. Liao Lisheng 48. Li Moyu 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 20. Tang Miao 17. Wang Dongsheng 15. Yan Dinghao 28. Yang Shuai
Coaches
Muscat K.	Seo Jung-Won

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', Wei Zhen 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Romulo ⚽, Hu H. (A),
15', Chow T. 🟨,
21', 0 - 2, Wei Shihao ⚽, Gurfinkel Y. (A),
28', Yusup Umidjan 🟨,
31', 1 - 2, Gustavo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Li Shuai 🟨,
66', Yan Junling 🟨,
69', Wei Shihao ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
71', Gabrielzinho ↓, Liu Ruofan ↑,
71', Li X. ↓, Wu Lei ↑,
71', Ming Tian ↓, Wang Shenchao ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Letschert T. ⚽, Felipe Silva (A),
77', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,
83', Wu Lei 🟨,
83', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Gan Chao ↑,
89', Mateus Vital ↓, Li Shenglong ↑,
89', Li Shuai ↓, Lu Wenjun ↑,
90+5', Liu Dianzuo 🟨,
90+5', Romulo ↓, Yang Shuai ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shanghai Port won 2.

Recent matches Shanghai Port is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chengdu Rongcheng could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Shanghai Port: Wang Zhenao (Injury) Wu Lei (Injury)

There will not play in Chengdu Rongcheng: Kallon I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Shanghai Port: Browning Tyias (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chengdu Rongcheng: Han Pengfei (Inactive)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Shanghai Port won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Shanghai Port won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:1 (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
16.04.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Port	1:4 ✺
06.04.25	Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1 ✺
02.04.25	Shanghai Port - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Port	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.03.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shanghai Port	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWTL
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
16.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
18.10.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	3:1
22.05.24	Shanghai Port - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:0
23.09.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	2:1
03.06.23	Shanghai Port - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1
Chinese FA Cup
08.01.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	0:4
05.01.23	Shanghai Port - Chengdu Rongcheng	4:0
Chinese Super League
10.12.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	0:0

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