Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 1

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport, Triller TV+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Max
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	Sport 1
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app, Sport 1 Baltic


	Shanghai Port		Johor Darul Takzim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.6	5.25
	1.52	4.75	5
	1.51	4.72	5.47
	1.51	4.69	5.28	Watch
	1.44	4.6	5	Watch
	1.53	4.8	5.3	Watch
	1.52	4.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)	4.7 ↓ (5.13)	5.19 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Port
62.1%

Draw
19.9%

Johor Darul Takzim
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

18%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

17.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.

Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shanghai Port - Johor Darul Takzim Predictions

Users Predictions: Shanghai Port will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yan Junling (G) 31. Bao Shimeng 9. Gustavo 18. Leo Cittadini 32. Li Shuai 22. Matheus Jussa 8. Oscar (C) 30. Popp W. 10. Vargas M. 13. Wei Zhen 5. Zhang Linpeng	58. Zubiaurre A. (G) 42. Aiman A. 24. Arribas O. 30. Insa N. (C) 23. Israfilov E. 14. Lowry S. 20. Muniz J. 11. Murilo 99. Obregon J. 13. Park J. 18. Undabarrena I.
Substitutes
3. Browning T. 6. Cai Huikang 12. Chen Wei (G) 27. Feng Jing 23. Fu Huan 2. Li Ang 33. Liu Zhurun 11. Lu Wenjun 4. Wang Shenchao 7. Wu Lei 16. Xu Xin 20. Yang Shiyuan	5. Amat J. 15. Baharudin F. 9. Bergson 22. Corbin-Ong L. 2. Davies M. 21. Faiz N. 16. Hazmi S. (G) 37. Heberty 7. Lombardo E. 19. Morales R. 26. Sumareh M. 6. Wan H.
Coaches
Muscat K.	Bidoglio H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Murilo 🟨,
24', Wei Zhen 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Aiman A. ⚽, Park J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Gustavo ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Aiman A. ⚽, Obregon J. (A),
61', Obregon J. ↓, Bergson ↑,
67', Vargas M. ↓, Wu Lei ↑,
67', Li Shuai ↓, Fu Huan ↑,
68', Matheus Jussa 🟨,
72', Park J. ↓, Baharudin F. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Popp W. ⚽,
74', Bao Shimeng ↓, Wang Shenchao ↑,
80', Leo Cittadini ↓, Xu Xin ↑,
80', Popp W. ↓, Feng Jing ↑,
85', Insa N. ↓, Wan H. ↑,
85', Muniz J. ↓, Heberty ↑,
85', Lowry S. ↓, Davies M. ↑,
90+4', Heberty 🟨,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Johor have a series of home games.

In this match Shanghai Port is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shanghai Port to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
13.09.24	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.08.24	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.08.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Shanghai Port	3:1 ✺
09.08.24	Shanghai Port - Meizhou Hakka	7:2 ✺
03.08.24	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Johor Darul Takzim FC
Malaysian Super League
12.09.24	Johor Darul Takzim - Penang	5:0 ✺
Malaysian FA Cup
24.08.24	Johor Darul Takzim - Selangor FA	6:1 ✺
Malaysian Super League
09.08.24	Johor Darul Takzim - Kedah FA	6:0 ✺
Malaysian FA Cup
04.08.24	Johor Darul Takzim - Kedah FA	3:0 ✺
Malaysian Super League
31.07.24	PDRM FA - Johor Darul Takzim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWT

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