Match Info

League Two - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass (Taiyuan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8


	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai		Shanghai Second

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.25	4.00
	1.79	3.20	4.20	Watch
	1.77	3.46	4.53
	1.84	3.18	4.38
	1.75	3.20	4.45
	1.75	3.20	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.58)	3.25 ↓ (3.44)	4.36 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
51.1%

Draw
28%

Shanghai Second
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

26.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

25.4%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's form might have worsened.

Shanghai Second has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Second than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Second, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Shanghai Second Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shanxi will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zhang Haixuan (G) 24. Wang Haowen 30. Ling Zhongyang 60. Zhang Junzhe 4. Wang J. 39. Zhang Tianlong 19. Wu Linfeng 9. Palmanjan K. 38. Zhang Hui 7. Kurban Eysajan (C) 33. Chen Xiangyu	12. Guo Tong (G) 15. He Linhan 40. Aidi 30. Wen Da 20. He K. 4. Li Guihao 8. Qi Long 23. Wang Junqiang 11. Zhang Yi (C) 9. He Shaolin 29. Shi Yiyi
Substitutes
14. Beisen H. 28. Chen Shaohao 55. He L. 22. Li Jinyu 27. Lin Kaixuan 8. Luan H. 36. Qi B. 15. Wang Kuan (G) 26. Xie Jinzheng 23. Yang Yixuan 31. Zhuoyu Y. (G)	3. He B. 21. Hoshurjan D. (G) 13. Lin J. 17. Lin Jinghao 25. Liu Wenjie 7. Shen Chenji 26. Shen Y. 14. Wang Jiahao 27. Wang Jiaqi 6. Xu Lei 18. Zhao Weihui
Coaches
Cao Rui	Arques I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Wang Junqiang 🟨,
45+2', Aidi 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Wang Junqiang ↓, Wang Jiahao ↑,
63', He Linhan ↓, Xu Lei ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Wang J. ⚽, Chen Xiangyu (A),
75', Shi Yiyi ↓, Shen Chenji ↑,
78', Chen Xiangyu ↓, Beisen H. ↑,
78', Ling Zhongyang ↓, He L. ↑,
81', Wen Da 🟨,
85', Wang Haowen ↓, Chen Shaohao ↑,
85', He K. ↓, Shen Y. ↑,
90+1', Wu Linfeng ↓, Xie Jinzheng ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Kurban Eysajan ⚽, Palmanjan K. (A),
90+6', Shen Chenji 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).

In recent matches, Shanxi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shanghai Second is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Shanxi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shanghai Second has had a series of home games.

Shanxi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shanxi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	25	13	5	7	30:18	12	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
28.06.26	Shandong Taishan B - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0 ✺
24.06.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Taian Tiankuang	3:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Qingdao West Coast	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.06.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Beijing Institute of Technology - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTW
- Shanghai Second FC
Chinese Yi League
27.06.26	Shanghai Second - Qingdao Red Lions	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Shanghai Second - Dalian Yingbo B	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Shanghai Second - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.06.26	Shanghai Second - Taian Tiankuang	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Shanghai Port B - Shanghai Second	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
15.04.26	Shanghai Second - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:2

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Shanghai Second: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide