Match Info

Yi League - Round 7

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass (Taiyuan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	3.5	1.55
	4.9	3.3	1.68
	6.07	3.29	1.68
	4.98	3.31	1.71	Watch
	5.75	3.6	1.5
	4.65	3.51	1.72	Watch
	4.6	3.3	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (4.6)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
17.7%

Draw
26.9%

Wuxi Wugou
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

28.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

28.3%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rong Shang (G) 32. Jiang Feng 3. Zheng Yiming 37. Su Shun 33. Liu Tianyang 18. Xiaohan L. 17. Ilhamjan Iminjan 28. Wang Hanlin 43. Abdugheni Muqamet 9. Gong Zheng 7. Li Jinqing	13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 2. Shang K. 29. Gong Hankui 26. Gou J. 4. Liang Jinhu 14. Hu Shengjia 10. Tong Le 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 45. Lu Y. 9. Zhang Dachi 8. Tursun Qeyser
Substitutes
47. Ablimit Feruk 21. Bai Shuo (G) 55. Gao Rongze (G) 29. Huang Kaizhou 15. Huang Zhiyuan 10. Li Diantong 8. Li Zhongting 49. Lu Jiajun 31. Tan Tiancheng 58. Zhang Hanwen 6. Zhang Wei 45. Zheng Jinyang	23. Dong Kaining 7. Fu Hao 56. Gao Jingchun 27. He Wei 36. Hu Jiaqi 1. Li Zhizhao (G) 60. Lu Jiaqiang 17. Luo H. 15. Mao Ziyu 21. Muhtar Ular 11. Wu Linfeng 16. Xu Chunqing
Coaches
Yu M.	Kim Bong-Gil

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Lu Y. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Zhang Dachi ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Li Jinqing ↓, Li Diantong ↑,
46', Abdugheni Muqamet ↓, Lu Jiajun ↑,
46', Lu Y. ↓, Gao Jingchun ↑,
61', Li Diantong 🟨,
62', Hu Shengjia ↓, Xu Chunqing ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Tursun Qeyser ⚽,
67', Su Shun ↓, Tan Tiancheng ↑,
67', Xiaohan L. ↓, Li Zhongting ↑,
69', Wang Hanlin ↓, Zhang Wei ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Gao Jingchun ⚽,
76', Gao Jingchun 🟨,
79', Li Zhongting 🟨,
82', Tursun Qeyser 🟨,
83', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Fu Hao ↑,
84', Tong Le ↓, Hu Jiaqi ↑,
87', Zhang Dachi 🟨,
88', Shang K. 🟨,
90+1', Zhang Dachi ↓, Dong Kaining ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

In recent matches, Shanxi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wuxi Wugou is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shanxi could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.

Recently, Wuxi Wugou had a set of home games.

In this match, Wuxi Wugou is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
26.04.25	Beijing Institute of Technology - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Hubei Istar - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Shanghai Port B - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WTTTL
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Yi League
27.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Shandong Taishan B - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Nantong Haimen Codion	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWTTW

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