Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Shashemene Kenema		Saint George

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.53
	5.25	3.78	1.58
	5.25	3.78	1.59
	5.55	3.68	1.55
	5.4	3.75	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↑ (3.98)	3.74 ↑ (3.15)	1.56 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shashemene Kenema
17.2%

Draw
24.4%

Saint George
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

28.9%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

28.2%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shashemene Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shashemene Kenema's form might have worsened.

Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint George's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shashemene Kenema than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint George, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shashemene Kenema - Saint George Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Saidi K. (G) 6. Burka W. 19. Desalegn G. 16. Eyob G. 26. Kebede M. 9. Mengistu S. 15. Mulugeta Y. 13. Nelson M. 20. Nigussie H. (C) 7. Tiruneh A. 5. Woldegiorgis M.	22. Negasha B. (G) 14. Adugna H. 19. Araya D. 34. Endale B. 24. Frimpong E. (C) 11. Odo M. 16. Tefera D. 3. Terfa A. 20. Wolde B. 18. Yesuf R. 26. Zeleke N.
Substitutes
1. Jarso A. (G) 4. Kedir I. 44. Mamo A. (G) 17. Mamuye G. 14. Menberu C. 18. Muluwork S. 22. Nassir A. 25. Nebi A. 40. Negese D. 8. Tesfaye G. 12. Wero A. 3. Yarfo Y.	17. Endale A. 12. Erbo A. 10. Eyasu T. 4. Frimpong K. A. 44. Gebremichael F. (G) 25. Getachew A. 13. Mustafa S. 27. Samuel A. 36. Tarekeg B.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Shashemene Kenema is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saint George is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shashemene Kenema could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Saint George is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shashemene Kenema won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shashemene Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
07.03.24	Hawassa City - Shashemene Kenema	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Welayta Dicha - Shashemene Kenema	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Shashemene Kenema - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Shashemene Kenema - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Fasil Kenema - Shashemene Kenema	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLTL
- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
09.03.24	Saint George - Hambericho Durame	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Wolkite Kenema - Saint George	0:2 ✺
16.02.24	Saint George - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Saint George - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
01.02.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Saint George	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
20.10.23	Saint George - Shashemene Kenema	3:2

Shashemene Kenema - Saint George: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide