Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Shashemene Kenema		Defence Force

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.75
	4.18	3.03	1.71
	4.35	3.1	1.85
	4.41	3.18	1.8
	4.4	3.15	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (6.25)	3.14 ↓ (3.6)	1.78 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shashemene Kenema
20.9%

Draw
28.6%

Defence Force
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

25.3%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

25.2%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shashemene Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shashemene Kenema's performance.

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defence Force might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shashemene Kenema than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shashemene Kenema that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defence Force could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Saidi K. (G) 16. Eyob G. 10. Kaiwa A. 26. Kebede M. 15. Mulugeta Y. 22. Nassir A. 13. Nelson M. 20. Nigussie H. (C) 8. Tesfaye G. 12. Wero A. 3. Yarfo Y.	1. Alionzi N. (G) 23. Adane M. (C) 10. Alemu F. 5. Badu S. 18. Bekele S. 6. Hagos G. 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 13. Negsh A. 28. NNamdi C. 15. Tamene A.
Substitutes
21. Bedane R. 27. Dilbi H. 1. Jarso A. (G) 2. Kassim A. 4. Kedir I. 44. Mamo A. (G) 9. Mohammed F. 19. Muluken T. 18. Muluwork S. 25. Nebi A. 11. Silas T. 7. Tiruneh A.	21. Alebachew T. 12. Dawiti Y. 7. Desta B. 19. Disasa G. 34. Hailu N. 29. Kebede Y. 17. Mengistu Y. 26. Mohammed I. 37. Muhaba A. 31. Sitotaw A. (G) 30. Tefera D. (G) 44. Wondimu D.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Recent matches Shashemene Kenema is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defence Force is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shashemene Kenema could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shashemene Kenema have a series of guest games.

Recently Defence Force have a series of home games.

In this match Defence Force is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shashemene Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
10.02.24	Shashemene Kenema - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Fasil Kenema - Shashemene Kenema	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Shashemene Kenema	1:1 ✺
18.01.24	Hambericho Durame - Shashemene Kenema	0:3 ✺
09.01.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Shashemene Kenema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLTWT
- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
08.02.24	Defence Force - Ethiopia Bunna	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Defence Force - Sidama Coffee	2:1 ✺
25.01.24	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
17.01.24	Dire Dawa City - Defence Force	1:3 ✺
10.01.24	Defence Force - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTWW

Shashemene Kenema - Defence Force: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide