Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday


	Shenzhen Peng City		Shaanxi Changan Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.65
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.81	2.76	2.95
	2.55	2.75	2.8
	2.64	2.91	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.35)	2.8 ↓ (3.4)	2.81 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Peng City
35.1%

Draw
32.5%

Shaanxi Changan Athletic
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

27.9%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Shaanxi Changan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaanxi Changan Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	21.1%	26.3%

Shenzhen Peng City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Shaanxi Changan will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 and 5).

Recent matches Sichuan Jiuniu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shaanxi Chang'an is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sichuan Jiuniu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sichuan Jiuniu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
13.08.22	Nanjing City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
09.08.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
04.08.22	Qingdao West Coast - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
01.08.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
28.07.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Shaanxi Changan Athletic
Chinese Jia League
13.08.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:1 ✺
10.08.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
05.08.22	Beijing Sport University - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:3 ✺
01.08.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
28.07.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
01.08.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0
19.05.21	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0
25.04.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:1

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