Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Nanjing City		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.3	3	3	Watch
	2.06	3.05	3.3
	2.33	3.05	3.23
	2.3	2.88	3.1
	2.27	3.13	3.13
	2.35	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.75)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	3.11 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
40.2%

Draw
30.5%

Shenzhen Peng City
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

31.8%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

32.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen Peng City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Nanjing City - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Qi Yuxi (G) 44. Fu Huan 36. Traore A. 32. Zhang Tianlong 30. Erkin Ababekri 28. Bouli R. 20. Nie Aoshuang 17. Sun Guoliang 13. Wu Xinghan 9. Yang He 3. Yen Yaki	1. Li Zhizhao (G) 4. Wang Qiao 5. Song Yue 16. Li Zhi 21. Nan Song 25. Abdukerim O. 7. Xiao Kun 6. Chen Yi 26. Egbuchulam C. 18. Muhta Muzapar 27. Abduweli Behram
Substitutes
6. Duan Yunzi 16. Han Xuan 7. Huang Peng 19. Huang Zhenfei 1. Huang Zihao (G) 8. Jiang Shichao 39. Jiang Zhe 40. Masika A. 42. Ma Yujun 25. Xing Yu (G) 11. Zhang Huajun 15. Zhou Yu	35. Chen Fangzhou 22. Jin Shang 39. Li Bowen 37. Liu Yujie 36. Lu Y. (G) 40. Ma Canjie 32. Song Chen 17. Wang Qi 23. Xia Dalong 30. Zhang Y. (G) 29. Zhao Z. 8. Zhou Dadi
Coaches
Cao Rui	Tato J.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Sichuan Jiuniu is Qualified for Super League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 0.

Recent matches Nanjing City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sichuan Jiuniu is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nanjing City will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nanjing City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
21.10.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
18.10.23	Nanjing City - Jinan Xingzhou	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Nanjing City - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 ✺
10.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTT
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
21.10.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
18.10.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Wuxi Wugou	4:0 ✺
15.10.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Shenzhen Peng City	0:3 ✺
10.10.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Peng City	0:3 ✺
17.09.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Yanbian Longding	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
15.07.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	0:0
13.08.22	Nanjing City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2
28.07.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	2:0
Chinese FA Cup
20.08.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	2:1
Chinese Jia League
12.08.21	Nanjing City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1
23.07.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	2:0

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