Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Zimbru (Chişinău)

Referee: Jovic F. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sheriff Tiraspol		Omonia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.2
	1.95	3.4	4
	1.95	3.55	4.1
	1.91	3.6	4
	1.97	3.48	4.16
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.9	3.68	4.2
	1.96	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	4.1 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheriff Tiraspol
49.7%

Draw
27%

Omonia
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

20.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheriff Tiraspol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheriff Tiraspol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.9%	13.6%	20.5%

Sheriff Tiraspol - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Sheriff will win (votes: 29 - 65.9%). Omonia will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheriff: 51.9% – 79.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadionul Zimbru.

Sheriff has not chance of knockout phase, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league, has currently - 3, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a very good chance of 3rd (>99%).

Omonia has not chance of knockout phase, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league, has currently - 0, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a very small chance of 3rd (<1%).

This event has quality 43, very small importance 3, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Sheriff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Omonia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sheriff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sheriff is a favorite.

There will not play in Omonia: Fabiano (Shoulder Injury) Lang A. (Yellow Cards)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sheriff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
30.10.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Dacia Buiucani	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	Manchester United - Sheriff Tiraspol	3:0 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
23.10.22	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Bălți	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Real Sociedad - Sheriff Tiraspol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL
- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
31.10.22	Omonia - Anorthosis	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	Omonia - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.10.22	Paphos - Omonia	3:0 ✺
18.10.22	Omonia - Nea Salamis	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Manchester United - Omonia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Omonia - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:3

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