Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 33

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium (Pafos) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Cyprus	19:00	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1, Omonia TV
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 3


	Paphos		Omonia

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.25	5.3
	1.54	4.37	6.21
	1.41	4.99	6.46
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.56	4.45	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.74)	4.37 ↑ (3.75)	5.68 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paphos
62.2%

Draw
21.4%

Omonia
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

24.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

25.9%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paphos's performance.

Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Omonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paphos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Paphos - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Omonia will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Omonia (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Paphos (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paphos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Omonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Michail N. (G) 33. Anderson Silva 77. Correia J. 80. Dani Silva 2. David Luiz (C) 30. Dragomir V. 19. Guessand A. 14. Ioannou N. 21. Mimovic O. 17. Orsic M. 26. Sunjic I.	40. Fabiano Freitas (G) 29. Balkovec J. 10. Chatzigiovanis A. 82. Christou A. 8. Jovetic S. 31. Kousoulos I. (C) 14. Maric M. 21. Masouras G. 18. Mayambela M. 28. Odubajo M. 27. Simic S.
Substitutes
9. Bassouamina M. 50. Brito A. 87. Caldieraro P. 11. Jaja 18. Lele 20. Odefalk W. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 88. Pepe 82. Petrou P. (G) 8. Quina D. 12. Sema K.	20. Andreou E. 2. Dionkou A. 6. Eiting C. 44. Erakovic N. 90. Konstantinidis C. 98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 85. Neofytou A. 91. Panagi K. 22. Tankovic M. 23. Uzoho F. (G)
Coaches
Sa Pinto R.	Berg H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Maric M. 🟨,
43', Odubajo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Maric M. ↓, Erakovic N. ↑,
58', Mayambela M. ↓, Andreou E. ↑,
59', Jovetic S. ↓, Neofytou A. ↑,
59', Odubajo M. ↓, Dionkou A. ↑,
61', Anderson Silva ↓, Lele ↑,
61', Orsic M. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
62', Neofytou A. 🟨,
73', Dragomir V. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
73', Correia J. ↓, Jaja ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Neofytou A. ⚽,
80', Christou A. ↓, Eiting C. ↑,
82', Dani Silva ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
83', Lele 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Erakovic N. ⚽,
86', Erakovic N. 🟨,
87', Quina D. 🟨,

Preview

Omonia is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 1.

Paphos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Omonia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Omonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paphos is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Omonia: Agouzoul S. (Inactive) Andreou E. (Inactive) Kitsos F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Paphos: Goldar D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Paphos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Omonia	7	3	3	1	13:6	7	12
5	Pafos	7	3	3	1	7:3	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
03.05.26	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	APOEL - Paphos	3:3 ✺
Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Paphos - AEL Limassol	3:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Aris Limassol - Paphos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTT
- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
02.05.26	Omonia - Aris Limassol	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Apollon Limassol - Omonia	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Omonia - APOEL	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Omonia - Paphos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
04.04.26	Omonia - Paphos	2:0
08.02.26	Paphos - Omonia	2:4
27.10.25	Omonia - Paphos	2:1
26.04.25	Omonia - Paphos	3:0
29.03.25	Paphos - Omonia	3:1
01.03.25	Omonia - Paphos	2:1
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.02.25	Paphos - Omonia	2:1

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