Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 10

Date: 12 January 2024, Friday


	Shimshon Kafr Qasim		Hapoel Marmorek

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.7
	2.6	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.67	3.12	2.35
	2.68	3.12	2.35
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.6	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.18)	3.09 ↑ (3.01)	2.49 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Kafr Qasim
34.8%

Draw
29.1%

Hapoel Marmorek
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimshon Kafr Qasim's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Marmorek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Marmorek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimshon Kafr Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Marmorek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Alef ~ Relegation (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimshon Kafr Qasim won 1.

Recent matches Shimshon Kafr Qasim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Marmorek is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shimshon Kafr Qasim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Shimshon Kafr Qasim won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Shimshon Kafr Qasim won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Alef South
04.01.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0 ✺
22.12.23	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Bnei Lod	2:1 ✺
19.12.23	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:1 ✺
11.12.23	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Dimona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWWLL
- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.01.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:2 ✺
29.12.23	Dimona - Hapoel Marmorek	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1 ✺
19.12.23	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Marmorek	0:4 ✺
15.12.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
13.01.23	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0
09.09.22	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:1
11.02.22	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	0:3
15.10.21	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Marmorek	0:1
21.02.20	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0
18.10.19	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	2:0

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