Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Shaarayim		Hapoel Marmorek

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.66	2.74	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.63)	2.74 ↓ (3.12)	2.44 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 15.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Shaarayim
32.7%

Draw
31.7%

Hapoel Marmorek
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.9%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.5%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Shaarayim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Shaarayim than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (+4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Baruch R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Shaarayim won 1.

Maccabi Shaarayim is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hapoel Marmorek is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Shaarayim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Maccabi Shaarayim won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Shaarayim won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Shaarayim
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.03.25	Dimona - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
12.03.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Maccabi Yavne - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLTL
- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
21.03.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Marmorek	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem	0:1 ✺
20.02.25	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
10.12.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:0
12.03.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:1
19.12.23	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Marmorek	0:4
20.01.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:0
16.09.22	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Marmorek	2:2
08.04.22	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Marmorek	2:0
26.12.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:0

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