Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 17

Date: 27 December 2024, Friday


	Shimshon Kafr Qasim		Tzeirei Tira

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.77
	4	3.55	1.76
	3.79	3.41	1.78
	4.01	3.52	1.77
	4	3.55	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.06)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	1.77 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Kafr Qasim
23.2%

Draw
25.8%

Tzeirei Tira
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.6%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimshon Kafr Qasim's form might have worsened.

Tzeirei Tira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tzeirei Tira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimshon Kafr Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tzeirei Tira than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Tzeirei Tira Predictions

Users Predictions: Tzeirei Tira will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
83', 0 - 1, Badir M. ⚽,
90+11', 0 - 2, Dahadi M. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation)).

Shimshon Kafr Qasim has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tzeirei Tira is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Shimshon Kafr Qasim have a series of guest games.

Tzeirei Tira will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Alef South
20.12.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	5:1 ✺
13.12.24	Dimona - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	6:1 ✺
10.12.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:1 ✺
05.12.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:3 ✺
27.11.24	Ironi Modiin - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tzeirei Tira FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
20.12.24	Tzeirei Tira - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:2 ✺
13.12.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Tzeirei Tira	2:1 ✺
06.12.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Tzeirei Tira	0:0 ✺
29.11.24	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Azor	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Tzeirei Tira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLTTW

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