Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Gyumri City Stadium (Gyumri)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Shirak Gyumri		Ararat

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.35	3.2
	1.95	3.65	3.42
	1.99	3.62	3.24	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.4
	1.99	3.4	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.32)	3.46 ↑ (3.44)	3.31 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shirak Gyumri
46.3%

Draw
26.2%

Ararat
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shirak Gyumri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shirak Gyumri's performance.

Ararat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ararat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shirak Gyumri than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shirak Gyumri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ararat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shirak Gyumri - Ararat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Karapetyan L. (G) 28. Akila J. 15. Janoyan N. 3. Karagulyan R. 21. Kodia D. 6. Misakyan R. 20. Mkrtchyan R. 4. Mnatsakanyan H. 22. Tarloyan M. 23. Tsarukyan S. 26. Vidic A.	1. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 12. Dombila C. 15. Doumbia K. 42. Fofana M. 10. Grigoryan A. (C) 5. Kartashyan A. 3. Khachumyan A. 55. Lima G. 9. Lulukyan G. 25. Ouattara A. 32. Ukadike D.
Substitutes
25. Akulyan G. 8. Darbinyan L. 18. Ghukasyan S. 77. Ghumashyan G. 1. Hovhannisyan H. (G) 96. Hovhannisyan S. (G) 11. Manukyan S. 9. Mryan L. 2. Pahlevanyan H. 66. Sargsyan V. 5. Sumbulyan T. 88. Vardanyan Y.	30. Aslanyan A. 6. Chukwu O. 73. Ghazaryan D. 51. Hakobyan T. 7. Handzongo P. 38. Kante M. 71. Martirosyan A. (G) 20. Meite A. 70. Mkrtchyan A. 14. Obinna P. E. 19. Toure S. 27. Vardanyan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Ukadike D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ukadike D. ↓, Aslanyan A. ↑,
55', Karagulyan R. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Doumbia K. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Fofana M. 🟨,
67', Ouattara A. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
69', Misakyan R. 🟨,
72', 0 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽,
73', Karagulyan R. ↓, Manukyan S. ↑,
73', Janoyan N. ↓, Sargsyan V. ↑,
75', Doumbia K. ↓, Meite A. ↑,
78', Mkrtchyan R. ↓, Darbinyan L. ↑,
78', Akila J. ↓, Mryan L. ↑,
84', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shirak won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shirak won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Shirak won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shirak Gyumri	8	3	1	4	11:10	1	10
8	Ararat	8	3	0	5	6:13	-7	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shirak Gyumri
Armenian Premier League
26.04.26	Gandzasar - Shirak Gyumri	3:2 ✺
20.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	0:4 ✺
16.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - BKMA Yerevan	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	BKMA Yerevan - Shirak Gyumri	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - Pyunik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTTL
- Ararat Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
25.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ararat - Pyunik	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Alashkert - Ararat	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ararat - Alashkert	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ararat - Van	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
09.11.25	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	0:0
12.09.25	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	4:2
08.04.25	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	1:3
04.04.25	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	1:2
17.08.24	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	1:2
15.05.24	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	0:1
15.03.24	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	2:0

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